Our Head of Research, Dr Stephen Boxford, contributed to a Health Foundation webinar about evaluating the use of a novel social franchising approach to support the spread and scale up of health and care interventions. You can watch a recording of the webinar here. You need to register with the Health Foundation to access it.
This month we were struck by two reports which both set out visions to improve life expectancy rates in the UK, which have currently stalled, and also reduce health inequalities. The Department of Health and Social Care have published Prevention is better than cure: Our vision to help you live well for longer which sets out the ambition of putting prevention at the heart of the nation’s health. The report sets out why prevention matters and presents the prevention vision for those already living with a health and social care need, and how they can live well for longer.
The King’s Fund have published A vision for population health: towards a healthier future which also notes that prevention is key, but that the NHS remains primarily a treatment service. The report outlines the increasing importance of investment in prevention, public health and spending that supports population health. The challenge is where is the increased investment coming from?
As Anita Charlesworth at the Health Foundation has noted: “A funding increase of £20.5 billion per year to NHS England’s budget by 2023/24 is around 3.4%. This will help stem further decline in the health service, but it’s simply not enough to address the fundamental challenges facing the NHS, or fund essential improvements to services that are flagging.”
As 2019 approaches and the NHS turns 71, it faces increasingly complex and challenging decisions about how best to achieve its vision of delivering better services and supporting the public to achieve improved outcomes. We look forward to working with our clients in 2019, many of whom are grappling with these complex issues.
One of our most interesting projects at Cordis Bright this year involved researching the needs of vulnerable households across a local authority area in Wales. To do this, we worked with 15 different agencies in the area and looked at the prevalence of different indicators of vulnerability, which are known to increase the chances of poor outcomes.
Think Family identifies nine indicators that increase the chance of poor outcomes, especially if experienced in multiple combinations. The indicators are shown below.
A higher incidence of ACEs is internationally recognised as predicting negative outcomes in adulthood, such as smoking, incarceration and domestic violence. The nine ACEs we included in this exercise, and the proportion of adults in Wales affected by each one, are shown below.
Was there a link between Think Family indicators and ACEs?
Think Family indicators and ACEs have each been linked to health and social problems across a person’s lifespan, but surprisingly we couldn’t find any research that explored the relationship between the two sets of indicators. So we decided to use the information provided by the 15 agencies to compare the number of ACEs that parents had experienced when they were children, with the number of Think Family indicators experienced by their families now they were adults. The analysis (based on anonymous data for 152 families) found a positive relationship between the number of ACEs and the average number of Think Family indicators in a household, as shown below. In other words, families where parents have experienced more ACEs in their past might be more likely to experience household disadvantage now, such as low household income or poor-quality accommodation. This in turn is likely to impact the children living in those households.
The Welsh ACEs study found that people with four or more ACEs were particularly likely to experience poor outcomes in adulthood. The graph shows that households with four or more ACEs were likely to have around four to six Think Family indicators, making them especially vulnerable to poor outcomes. There weren’t any households in this cohort where parents had experienced all nine ACEs.
The relationship between ACEs and Think Family indicators is positive, but it is a weak correlation. The fact that the correlation was weak suggests the relationship between childhood experiences in the past and household disadvantage in the present is also influenced by other factors.
Was there a link between ACEs and Think Family indicators?
When we repeated this analysis the other way around – looking at the average number of ACEs experienced by parents in households with multiple Think Family indicators – the findings were similar: there appeared to be a weak correlation between the number of Think Family indicators and the average number of ACEs. This is shown in the graph below.
What does it mean?
All in all, this piece of analysis shows that there might be a relationship between people’s adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and the level of household disadvantage they face when they are grown up and have children. This, in turn, can potentially impact on the next generation of children living in those households.
The relationship appears to be weak, and there are exceptions: there are families with high numbers of ACEs but low current disadvantage, and families with high current disadvantage but low numbers of ACEs. This illustrates the importance of other factors in determining the pathway from a childhood with multiple ACEs to a household facing disadvantage.
We think more research is needed here. In particular, we need to understand how individuals experiencing risks as children can build resilience so that their children are less likely to experience poor outcomes.
We think such research is likely to highlight the importance of putting interventions in place to reach vulnerable children as early as possible, giving them the best chance to overcome their early disadvantage and protecting them from poor health, violence, incarceration and other negative experiences in adulthood.
The Early Intervention Foundation’s report on Realising the Potential of Early Intervention received a mixed reception. Local authorities and their partners agree on the importance of intervening early to prevent need from escalating but remain concerned about financial pressures which prevent them from investing in this space. At the National Children and Adult Social Care Conference, Department for Education colleagues suggested that further evidence was needed to prove that early intervention was making a real difference. Until then, it appears that central government is likely to continue to focus on statutory services and funding innovative projects that have the potential to reduce demand – and create cashable savings – at tier 3 and 4.
The State of Health and Social Care 2018 report written by CQC continues to describe a pattern of experience first identified in 2016 when they reported on services reaching ‘tipping point’. Nothing illustrates this more strongly than the distances from home of out of area health placements for people with serious mental health needs. CQC is a regulator and cannot therefore recommend a ‘solution’ beyond the need for greater alignment between health and social care, or highlight that the most critical impact of Brexit is the ‘domestic void’ where national strategy on health and social care should be. The green paper on adult social care is now due before the end of year (along with a 10 year plan for the NHS). It is fair to say that further delay will only increase the scale and complexity of what it must address.
Dynamic Wrexham commissioned Cordis Bright to conduct a five-year longitudinal evaluation of A Dynamic Future. This is a project aiming to support and improve the transition process for disabled young people aged 14-25 living in Wrexham and their families. It received funding from the Big Lottery Fund for a five-year period from 2013 to 2018 and worked with 199 young people in this period.
2018 represented the final year for the evaluation. The approach included elements of gaps analysis; and a summary of the findings from this gaps analysis can be downloaded below.
The gaps analysis found that:
Potential demand for a transition support service like A Dynamic Future is far higher than the demand levels which can be met by the current resources available to deliver the project.
The project is currently delivering a number of services which appear to be unique in Wrexham and therefore filling a gap in locally-available support. For example, it is the only local service offering transition support related to ETE which specifically targets disabled young people. It also fills a gap by offering support to young people who do not meet the threshold for statutory transition support and who therefore would be unlikely to receive equivalent support from another service.
There are further gaps in local support which could be met by A Dynamic Future or a similar transition support service in the future. These include: engaging more intensively with local employers; providing young people with more intensive support to engage; and providing effective transition support to young people who have mental health issues.
If you would like to receive a copy of the full report on the gaps analysis, please contact Hannah Nickson on hannahnickson@cordisbright.co.uk or 020 7330 9170.
Dynamic Wrexham commissioned Cordis Bright to conduct a five-year longitudinal evaluation of A Dynamic Future. This is a project aiming to support and improve the transition process for disabled young people aged 14-25 living in Wrexham and their families. It received funding from the Big Lottery Fund for a five-year period from 2013 to 2018 and worked with 199 young people in this period.
The evaluation approach incorporated a range of methods, including: review of literature; collation and analysis of monitoring and outcomes data; and consultation with young people, their family members, project staff and other local organisations. Annual evaluation reports were produced each year.
The final report for the evaluation has now been produced and can be downloaded below.
It found evidence that the project:
Offers person-centred support to young people which is both more intensive and longer in duration than originally anticipated when the project was designed.
Is valued by young people, families and other local organisations, who see the person-centred, friendly and practical focus of the project as key strengths.
Is supporting disabled young people to achieve a range of positive outcomes, including: engaging or remaining engaged with education, training and employment opportunities; becoming less socially isolated and developing improved social networks; increasing confidence and independence; and building practical life skills.
Is enabling families to understand the transition process better, to feel less worried about their young person and their future, and to allow their young person to be more independent.
May be achieving net cost avoidance as a result of reducing the number of young people who are NEET of between £3,415,424 and £6,225,024. This equates to a return on investment of between £3.93 and £7.16 for every £1 spent.
Is limited in its impact by challenges in identifying local employment opportunities for disabled young people, and could potentially increase its success through improved promotion of the project.
The findings of the evaluation have informed the ongoing development of the project over the five years. They may also be of interest to those who are considering delivering, commissioning or funding similar projects with and for disabled young people.
Effective hospital discharge services are important on multiple levels: for patients, hospital staff and organisations as a whole. We reviewed evidence from pilots and research articles and good practice guidance on hospital discharge and transfers of care. Here we highlight the factors that enable effective and timely hospital discharge and provide a good practice benchmark against which current hospital discharge practices and processes can be compared. We also highlight the key barriers to effective hospital discharge.
Please get in touch with our Head of Research, Dr Stephen Boxford, for more detail or to continue the conversation.
Cordis Bright believes that the research that we carry out is of the highest quality and matches work carried out by any academic institution. In line with our commitment to undertaking rigorous, professional and robust research we have developed this Research Governance Framework (RGF), much of which is adapted from ethical/research frameworks of professional bodies such as the NHS Health Research Authority and the British Sociological Association.
In the RGF we set out our five core principles in conducting social research. We then go on to explain how we apply these five core principles through the life of a research project. Download a copy below.
The Cordis Podcast provides a concise and accessible insight into key issues across a broad range of sectors, including children and young people's services, adult social care, criminal justice, and the NHS. Each episode addresses a different topic through interviews with our own research and consultancy team as well as insight from relevant experts within the field.
In our second episode, Mollie Shomali sits down with Hannah Marshall and Emma Van Oss to discuss what it's like to work as a researcher at Cordis Bright. Produced to coincide with our most recent recruitment round (see here), the Podcast also gives a flavour of the different projects that Cordis Bright works on - and the central role that researchers play.
A spotlight on our work in the criminal justice sector, covering children and adults. Recent experience has focused on serious youth violence and gangs.